Updated Nov 4, 2026FDA and CMS public dataIndependent · free · not health advice
GxRadar
How generics get approved · Explainer

Narrow therapeutic index drugs and the tighter test for their generics

Warfarin, levothyroxine, phenytoin and a few other drugs face a stricter generic test scaled to the brand's own variability. How it works, which drugs it covers and where state law adds rules.

Not health advice. GxRadar is for general information only. Nothing here is medical, pharmacy, legal or financial advice. Do not start, stop or change any medicine based on this site. Talk to your pharmacist or prescriber about your own situation.

In May 2026, FDA revised its bioequivalence recommendations for generic warfarin, a blood thinner, first issued in December 2012. The revision kept the core of the original. Any company seeking approval must run two studies, one fasting and one fed, in which each healthy volunteer takes the generic twice and the reference product twice, according to the warfarin guidance2. The design lets FDA compare average blood levels and also how much each product varies within the same person.

That same month, FDA updated its tacrolimus capsule guidance and published a guidance on statistical approaches to bioequivalence1 that describes the statistical method for NTI drugs.

Warfarin and tacrolimus belong to a small group FDA calls narrow therapeutic index, or NTI, drugs. For most generics, FDA applies the standard 80 to 125 percent bioequivalence test. For NTI drugs it adds a tighter test that narrows as the brand gets more consistent.

What FDA means by narrow therapeutic index

FDA's May 2026 statistical guidance1 defines NTI drugs as "those drugs where small differences in dose or blood concentration may lead to serious therapeutic failures and/or adverse drug reactions that are life-threatening or result in persistent or significant disability or incapacity."

FDA does not keep one master list. FDA scientists wrote in a 2015 paper in the AAPS Journal9 that FDA "does not currently provide a list of NTI drugs," while noting that digoxin, lithium carbonate, phenytoin, tacrolimus, theophylline and warfarin "are usually considered NTI drugs by many experts." In practice FDA makes the call drug by drug in its product-specific guidances, each with an explanation section. For warfarin, the 2026 guidance2 lists five reasons, among them that effective and toxic concentrations are close together, that the drug is monitored with blood tests, and that doses are adjusted in steps of 10 to 25 percent.

Which drugs FDA has labeled NTI

GxRadar reviewed FDA product-specific guidances for drugs often described as NTI. The table lists those whose guidance states that FDA has concluded the drug is an NTI drug, with GxRadar's count of generic applications for each ingredient that are listed as marketed in FDA's Drugs@FDA data12.

DrugProduct in the guidanceGuidance historyMarketed generic applications, all forms
Warfarin sodiumTabletsDec. 2012; revised May 202626
TacrolimusCapsulesFinalized Sept. 2009; revised Dec. 2012, May 2026317
Levothyroxine sodiumTabletsDec. 2014411
Phenytoin sodiumExtended-release capsulesMay 2007; revised Dec. 201457
DigoxinTabletsJune 2005; revised Aug. 201769
Lithium carbonateCapsulesJuly 2008; revised Nov. 2019, May 2023710
CarbamazepineChewable tabletsAug. 2022829

This list is not exhaustive. FDA's product-specific guidances number in the thousands, and GxRadar checked only these drugs and dosage forms.

How the tighter test works

Standard bioequivalence asks whether the 90 percent confidence interval for the generic-to-brand ratio sits inside 80.00 to 125.00 percent. For NTI drugs, FDA's statistical guidance1 calls for a fully replicated crossover study analyzed three ways. The first two are run on both total exposure (AUC) and peak level (Cmax).

  1. A reference-scaled test, in which the allowed difference between generic and brand shrinks or grows with the brand's own within-subject variability. FDA fixes the scaling constants at 0.9 and 0.1.
  2. The standard 80.00 to 125.00 percent limits, which still apply.
  3. A comparison of variability, in which the upper bound of the ratio of the generic's within-subject standard deviation to the brand's must fall below 2.5.

Working through FDA's formula shows what the scaled limits imply for the point estimate. The constants were chosen so that a brand with a within-subject standard deviation of 0.10, roughly a 10 percent coefficient of variation, gets limits of 90.00 to 111.11 percent. A more consistent brand gets narrower limits.

Brand's within-subject standard deviationImplied limits on the generic-to-brand ratio
0.0594.87% to 105.41%
0.1090.00% to 111.11%
0.1585.38% to 117.12%
0.2081.00% to 123.46%
0.25Capped at 80.00% to 125.00%

These figures are GxRadar's calculation from the constants in the guidance. The actual test is run on a statistical bound from study data, so a product needs some margin inside these limits.

The approach grew out of an April 2010 meeting of an FDA advisory committee, which voted 11 to 2 that the standard limits were not sufficient for NTI drugs, with members commenting that the limits "should perhaps be narrower (90–111%)," according to the 2015 paper9. The same paper reported that Health Canada had tightened its AUC limits for critical-dose drugs to 90.0 to 112.0 percent and that the European Medicines Agency applies 90.00 to 111.11 percent in specific NTI cases. FDA's authors chose scaling instead, because fixed narrow limits sharply cut the chance that even an identical copy would pass when variability is moderate. In their simulations, a product compared with itself passed fixed 90.00 to 111.11 percent limits only 27.69 percent of the time when the within-subject standard deviation was 0.25.

Levothyroxine's extra layer

Levothyroxine tablets have several brand applications that each serve as a reference listed drug. FDA's levothyroxine guidance4 says a separate bioequivalence study "must be conducted against the highest strength of each RLD product for which a sponsor wishes its product to receive an 'AB' rating." That is why levothyroxine products carry numbered codes such as AB1 and AB2, explained in our piece on therapeutic equivalence codes. The history of the drug's market is in levothyroxine and the price of a daily pill.

Where state law comes in

FDA approval decides whether a generic is rated equivalent. Whether a pharmacist may swap one maker's product for another's is set by states, as our piece on the pharmacist's role in substitution describes. North Carolina has an NTI-specific rule. Under N.C. Gen. Stat. 90-85.28(b1)10, a prescription for an NTI drug "shall be refilled using only the same drug product by the same manufacturer that the pharmacist last dispensed," unless the prescriber is notified first and both prescriber and patient give documented consent. Our guide to state generic substitution laws covers the broader rules.

What the price data show

NTI status has not kept these drugs expensive. GxRadar's analysis of CMS NADAC files11 through October 2026 shows what pharmacies paid per tablet for three of them. Warfarin is one of the seven drugs in GxRadar's basket that cost more than in January 2014, a story told in our look at warfarin and clopidogrel prices.

ProductNADAC, January 2014NADAC, October 2026Change
Warfarin 5 mg tablet$0.082$0.089+9%
Levothyroxine 50 mcg tablet$0.246$0.040-84%
Digoxin 125 mcg tablet$0.912$0.128-86%

Questions to bring to the pharmacy counter

A refill of an NTI drug can come from a different manufacturer and look different, as our piece on why pills change color explains. Questions people sometimes put to a pharmacist or prescriber include whether the manufacturer changed since the last fill, whether their state has a rule about switching makers for that drug, and whether the prescriber wants to know when the maker changes. FDA's warfarin guidance, in its May 2026 revision, remains a draft.

Sources and notes

  1. FDA (2026). Statistical Approaches to Establishing Bioequivalence, Guidance for Industry
    www.fda.gov/media/163638/download
  2. FDA (2026). Draft Guidance on Warfarin Sodium, product-specific guidance, revised May 2026
    www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/psg/PSG_009218.pdf
  3. FDA (2026). Draft Guidance on Tacrolimus, product-specific guidance, revised May 2026
    www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/psg/PSG_050708.pdf
  4. FDA (2014). Draft Guidance on Levothyroxine Sodium Tablets, product-specific guidance
    www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/psg/Levothyroxine%20sodium_draft_Oral%20tab_RLD%200
  5. FDA (2014). Draft Guidance on Phenytoin Sodium Extended-Release Capsules, product-specific guidance
    www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/psg/Phenytoin_sodium_ERcap_084349_RV12-14.pdf
  6. FDA (2017). Draft Guidance on Digoxin Tablets, product-specific guidance
    www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/psg/Digoxin_oral%20tablet_NDA%20020405_RV08-17.pdf
  7. FDA (2023). Draft Guidance on Lithium Carbonate Capsules, product-specific guidance
    www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/psg/PSG_017812.pdf
  8. FDA (2022). Draft Guidance on Carbamazepine Chewable Tablets, product-specific guidance
    www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/psg/PSG_018281.pdf
  9. AAPS Journal (2015). Jiang W et al., A Bioequivalence Approach for Generic Narrow Therapeutic Index Drugs: Evaluation of the Reference-Scaled Approach and Variability Comparison Criterion
    pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4476992/
  10. North Carolina General Assembly (2025). G.S. 90-85.28, Selection by pharmacists permissible
    www.ncleg.gov/EnactedLegislation/Statutes/HTML/BySection/Chapter_90/GS_90-85.28.html
  11. CMS (2026). National Average Drug Acquisition Cost (NADAC) dataset, data.medicaid.gov
    data.medicaid.gov/dataset/fbb83258-11c7-47f5-8b18-5f8e79f7e704
  12. openFDA (2026). Drugs@FDA API, used for GxRadar's application counts
    open.fda.gov/apis/drug/drugsfda/

Superscript numbers in the text link to these sources. GxRadar data (NADAC histories, recall and shortage counts) come from CMS and FDA files described on the sources page. Researched and drafted with AI assistance and checked against the sources above. Information current as of Nov 3, 2026 and may change. Spot an error? It will be corrected once confirmed.

Not health advice. GxRadar is for general information only. Nothing here is medical, pharmacy, legal or financial advice. Do not start, stop or change any medicine based on this site. Talk to your pharmacist or prescriber about your own situation. Laws, prices and program rules described here can change; confirm current details with the official source.